Basically, intuition tells you that you start with a one in three chance, and after one door is revealed to be a non-winner, you still have one chance out if the original three, which is now simply a 50-50 chance that either one of the remaining doors is the winner. But: the 2 to 1 chance that either door of the original 3 that you didn't pick was the winner has now become a 2 to 1 chance that the 1 remaining door you didn't pick is the winner. So that door is actually more likely to win than the one you originally picked. See?
Like I said last week, it's gloriously counter-intuitive, much like this show...
4:06am
A Goat:
Don Draaaaaaaaaaaaaaper!
4:13am
neil:
mountains. still quite cold...
4:26am
goyim in the am:
Everything has an end; only a sausage has two.
4:27am
neil:
negativland samples this on dispepsi.
5:07am
neil:
sleep sleep sleep sleep.
5:18am
neil:
space disco!<do thee time machine>
5:33am
neil:
you think maybe monty <mr> hall stayed up tonite to listen to his interview, and is now dancing around his living room? <pretty sure he is>
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Listener comments!
neil:
neil:
neil:
P-90:
-another nice page design
JakeGould:
Tome:
neil:
neil:
neil:
P-90:
neil:
JakeGould:
DJ Stashu:
neil:
Sigurður:
neil:
JakeGould:
JakeGould:
P-90:
DJ Stashu:
JakeGould:
DJ Stashu:
P-90:
neil:
DJ Stashu:
Sigurður:
P-90:
DJ Stashu:
P-90:
neil:
A Goat:
Goat #2:
Mavis Staples:
neil:
Goat-90:
Like I said last week, it's gloriously counter-intuitive, much like this show...
A Goat:
neil:
goyim in the am:
neil:
neil:
neil:
neil:
DJ Stashu:
Ken From Hyde Park:
DJ Stashu: